NFL: Liver’s Week 12 Picks
Published by Adnan Tezer on November 27, 2009
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Chicago Bears
As last week showed, it only gets tougher to pick these damn games as the season goes along. Despite being 3—7 through the Thursday night and Sunday morning games, the Liver rebounded nicely to win the last six games including the Sunday (thank you Jay Cutler) and Monday night game (thank you Kris Brown) to finish a respectable but not great (by this year’s standards) 9—7 for the week.
Anyone that had Kansas City beating Pittsburgh has my eternal respect but I don’t think there were too many of you.
Hopefully the Liver gets his Ace Rothstein groove back this weekend.
F.Y.I. For those who haven’t seen the ESPN Sunday NFL Countdown commercial with Snoop Dogg and Mike Ditka; check it out on YouTube. CLASSIC .
Of course it goes without saying that the following picks AGAINST THE SPREAD are for RECREATIONAL USE ONLY . Only Rick Pitino, LeGarrette Blount, Donte’ Stallworth, Braylon Edwards, Bob Griese, Miguel Cabrera, Tila Tequila, Bill Belichick, Steve Phillips, Travis Henry, Serena Williams, Michael Jordan, Tony Romo, Elizabeth Lambert, Richard Heene (a.k.a. Balloon Boy’s father), the Liver’s biological father (a.k.a. The Most Interesting Man in the World) and all Somali Pirates would be drunk enough to question the Esteemed Liver’s picks.
Last week’s record—9—7
2009 record against the spread—100—59—1 (.625)
Sunday, November 29
Washington at Philadelphia (—9)
I have to admit it; Jason Campbell is not a bad QB. The offense just can’t score points. When you’re missing key players like Clinton Portis and Chris Cooley that’s to be expected. I hate taking Filthy laying this many points with Andy Reid lurking the sidelines ready to call a bad timeout or throw a blatantly idiotic challenge flag when it comes down to the last three minutes of the game but the Redskins just can’t score enough points. Pick—Filthy
Atlanta’s season is pretty much done after last week. Tampa Bay looked like the Tampa Bay from earlier in the year against the Saints last week. Still, that’s a lot to lay on this Falcons team right now. Pick—Tampa Bay
Miami at Buffalo (+3)
Ricky Williams looked like he was back in Austin running for the Longhorns last Thursday night against the Panthers. Losing Ronnie Brown will still cost this team but not today. Pick—Miami
Carolina at N.Y. Jets (—3)
The Jets are awful right now and the Panthers, although they regressed against the Dolphins, are coming in off of 10 days rest. How are the Jets going to stop the Panthers running game? Pick—Carolina
Indianapolis at Houston (+3 ½)
Poor Houston. How many game have they blown this season? Indy continues to win by the skin of Peyton Manning’s teeth despite their secondary issues. I picked them to lose last week and I’m picking them to lose this week. This is the only early game worth a watching by the way. Pick—Houston
Seattle at St. Louis (+3)
Great…another NFC West game. What a thrilling contest this one should be. No Marc Bulger for St. Louis means Kyle Boller? Oh no. Then again that offense is one—dimensional anyway. All you have to do is hand the ball off to Steven Jackson and try to make a hole for him. Pick—St. Louis
Cleveland at Cincinnati (—14)
The Browns explode for 37 and STILL can’t win? The Bengals will wipe away the vomit in their mouth from the give—away loss against the Raiders last week. If they can’t wipe the field with these Browns, then they have a problem. Pick—Cincinnati
Jay Cutler is overthrowing WIDE OPEN RECEIVERS . Why is it that guy has the permanent facial expression of a five—star career drunkard? Pick—Minnesota
Who’s betting against the Titans and Vince Young right now? Kurt Warner is iffy with his concussion problems, which means that Matt Leinart could see some playing time. I think I’m going to refer to the 2009 NFL season as “The Year of the Concussion” what with all the players getting knocked out and the talk about concussion education. Try saying “concussion education” five times fast. Pick—Tennessee
Jacksonville at San Francisco (—3 ½)
That’s too high a line for this 49’rs team. Jacksonville is the better team with the better running game right now. Alex Smith is great at throwing touchdowns WHEN THE GAME IS OVER AND ALL IT DOES IS F*** WITH THE LIVER TAKING THE PACKERS LAYING SIX AND A HALF . Too bad he can’t do that when the game is in the first half. Pick—Jacksonville
Kansas City at San Diego (-14)
Kansas City has a TWO GAME WINNING STREAK? It won’t get to three against a rolling Chargers team but they’ve been improving as the season has gone on. Pick: Kansas City
Pittsburgh at Baltimore (+3)
The Liver’s roommate Chris, a Steelers fan, had this to say after the overtime loss in Arrowhead; “You know how you like to throw things at the T.V. and f**k up the apartment when you watch Cowboys games? That’s how I feel about this Steelers team. They’re not making the playoffs. And Mike Tomlin is just another George Seifert.” I know I sound like a broken record here but Roethlisberger is questionable with concussion problems. Think the Ravens defense will be looking to knock him around if he plays? I know Baltimore hasn’t beaten a good team this year, expect for MAYBE the Broncos, but I just don’t trust this Steelers team right now. Pick: Baltimore
Monday, November 30
New England at New Orleans (-3)
You don’t think the Pats are going into this looking to end the Saints perfect season? New Orleans has been more or less slumming the last MONTH and will have to play UP to their competition here. That crowd should be a huge factor here though and New Orleans has one of the best home field advantages in football. Pick: New England
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